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Baseball's Flowers and Skunks
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More than a third of the baseball season is over. A lot can
happen over the next 90+ games and, if you know baseball history, even a big
lead like the Yankees possess can evaporate. But, if you think spring games
don’t matter, the Yankees suggest otherwise. Now that baseball is almost as bad
as the NHL in rewarding playoff spots to mediocre teams, the Yankees are nearly
a lock for the postseason. As I type this, they are 50-18! If they merely split
their remaining 94 games they will accumulate 97 victories, which would secure
them a playoff slot.
How good are they? Hard to know given how many smelly
teams are playing. Here’s my capsule analysis of Contenders (C),
Pretenders (P), Not Yet teams (NY), and the Hopeless (H) by
order of standings on 6/22/22.
American League East:
1. Yankees (C): Starting and relief pitching has been
spectacular, Judge is having a historic year, and they hit a ton of home runs.
Weaknesses: They don’t win unless they homer, Gallo stinks, like much of
the bottom half of the order.
2. Blue Jays (P): Spent
a lot of money and got limited results. Guerrero is a stud but... Weaknesses:
Biggio, Springer, and other young players haven’t impressed and their pitching is thin
after Manoah.
3. Red Sox (C): Best batting averages in the AL and a
strong manager. Weaknesses: They hit but only a few players make anyone quake.
They will go as far as their frequently-injured starting pitching takes them.
Terrible bullpen.
4. Rays (C/P): Always steady but... Weaknesses:
You can’t dump high-priced talent every year and expect replacements to
duplicate them. The league has caught on to the “opener” gimmick. The Rays
could surprise, but they won’t go deep into the postseason.
5. Orioles (H/NY): They don’t smell like dead
Chesapeake Bay oysters any more, but no way they make the playoffs. Desperately
seeking new ownership.
American League Central:
1. Guardians (P): Resource-poor
Cleveland has the best manager in MLB (Francona), the wonderful (Jose) Ramirez, and a
few good pitchers but every year Francona is like a single mom trying to feed 25
growing boys on a box of mac n’ cheese.
2. Twins (P): Some decent players. Also spent a lot
of money and have gotten less than they hoped–I’m looking at you Correa–so I’ll
just say this: Never bet on the Twins.
3. White Sox (P): Might be the most disappointing
team in MLB. They should walk away with a weak division and still might, but
they believed their hype and haven’t bothered to show up very often. Still the
odds-on favorite, but won’t get far in October. Weaknesses: Pitching blows
hot/cold. Need a manager from this era.
4. Tigers (NY): The rebuild will take time and there
are still more holes than a pair of hobo socks. Not good when you best hitter
is over 40.
5. Royals (H): Who cares?
American League West:
1. Astros (C): I hate them, but there’s no denying
the talent. As they’ve been, so they are: a solid team with good pitching.
Weaknesses: No production in center field or catcher. Closer Pressly can be had
and Verlander is 39.
2. Rangers (NY): They are rebuilding slowly, as they
should.
3. Angels (P): Can we just stop the Trout Hype Wagon for
heaven’s sake? He’s great but also injury-prone. He, Ohtani, and Ward are not enough. The
pitching is just as lousy as it always is.
4. Mariners (PP): A team that deserves a double PP. A
yawn, yawn roster crafted by inept leadership at all levels.
5. Athletics (H): Simply a shameful tear-apart of a former
contender. Move this team. Now!
National League East:
1. Mets (C): Yep, they’re for real and a Subway
Series with the Yankees is not out of the question (though probability is
another matter). Alonso, McNeil, Lindor are productive. Weaknesses: Starting
pitching is so-so with Scherzer on the DL. Not much power beyond Alonso and
Lindor.
2. Braves (C): The defending champions have been
lethargic but remain formidable. They are like Houston in that they are steady
and solid, not spectacular. There is more power in their lineup than the Mets
can muster. Weaknesses: Acuna has been
injured, the bullpen and starter Morton are showing their age.
3. Phillies (P): They fired Girardi, went on a small
tear, and reverted to their usual around .500 routine. Harper is great though.
Weaknesses: They already regret signing Castellanos and at some point must
come to grips with a roster that looks better on paper than on the field. Nola
and Elfin continue to underwhelm.
4. Marlins (P): Do you care? No one in Miami does. (I'll bet they would in Montreal.)
5. Nationals (H): Time to admit that Corbin was a
one-year wonder, dump the always-injured Strasburg, and rebuild around Bell,
Soto, and Robles.
National League Central:
1. Brewers (P): It’s them or St. Louis in a lousy
division, but unless Yelich wakes up, all they have are guys (Tellez, Adames, Renfroe) punching
above their weight class. Hader might be the best reliever in baseball. He
needs to be on a ho-hum staff.
2. Cardinals (P): The Cards look great with
Goldschmidt, Arenado, and Edman but when they play good teams–witness their
trip to Fenway Park–they look very mortal. It’s not good to rely on a
40-year-old ace (Wainwright) or a guy who lives on the DL (Matz).
3. Pirates (NY): They’re not embarrassing anymore,
but watch what happens at the trade deadline. If they trade young talent, bury
‘em again. Right now, they are a cut above AAA, but not a big slice above.
4. Cubs (H): What an embarrassment! An inexcusable
tear down of a wealthy franchise. Season ticket holders should sue for refunds.
5. Reds (H): Two phrases: Sell ‘em. Move ‘em.
National League West:
1. Dodgers (C): East Coast hoopla aside, they’re
probably the best team in the majors. Freeman, Betts, Turner, Gonsolin,
Anderson... and Muncy and Bellinger haven’t yet gotten untracked. I vote them the
team most likely to throw a monkey wrench into Subway Series dreams.
Weaknesses: Not liking Kimbrel as closer and why they signed Heaney is anyone’s
guess.
2. Padres (P): Lots of hope, but it’s most hype. This
is another team bettors should avoid. Machado, Hosmer, Darvish, Musgrove (IL),
and? Yeah, that’s the problem.
3. Giants (C/P): 2021’s 107 wins was a fluke, but
this team has good chemistry and enough talent to make it to the postseason.
Pederson has finally come into his own and where did (Luis) Gonzalez come from?
If Yaztremski, Belt, and Crawford wake up they will make some noise. Rodon,
Wood, Webb are a good top three for starters. Weaknesses: Like the Rays, they
need all the pieces to fall into place.
4. Diamondbacks (H): When the weather heats up, the
D’backs cool down. You probably wouldn’t recognize their starting lineup or any
pitcher other than past-his-prime Bumgarner. There’s a reason no one beyond
Tucson knows the names.
5. Rockies (H): Would somebody please trade for
Blackmon and save him from all of this? MLB should not have a franchise at this
altitude.
Rob Weir